Politics

Climate Policy After the 2024 Election

In this UCLA Emmett Institute webinar, panelists discussed the climate implications of the 2024 election from the state, national, and international perspective.

Climate certainty. Legislative action. Whipsaw regulations. An exodus of civil servants. Chinese leadership despite being the world’s largest emitter. Those are a few of the possible outcomes of the Nov. 5 presidential election, according to our panelists.  More than in any previous election, the two major candidates’ track records on environmental policies are well-established and …

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Evolving Energy Positions, 2016-2024

The national debate over climate and energy has shifted since Trump’s first run in 2016.

Coal, once a political flash point, has almost disappeared as an issue, with oil and gas production in unchallenged first place for Republicans.  Clean energy subsidies, a side-issue in 2016,, have now taken center stage, while EPA regulations get much less attention.  The one thing that remains unchanged is the gulf between the parties.

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Governor Newsom Should Veto These Four Bills

Four seemingly modest bills — AB 1122, AB 1296, AB 637 and AB 3179 — are sneaky legislative efforts to threaten California’s world-leading clean transportation investments.

This post was co-authored by Ruben Aronin, Principal of the Better World Group. With just weeks to go before November 5, all eyes are on the election, including what it means for environmental policy. And yet, one of the largest threats to California’s clean transportation leadership in recent history has materialized right under our noses …

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The Contract with America

Or, as some critics called it, “the Contract ON America.”

The Contract with America was the brainchild of Newt Gingrich. It was a turning point in American politics: moving the GOP from compromise to confrontation, nationalizing what had previously been locally oriented House races, and shifting the GOP far to the right. There’s a reason they call Gingrich the man who broke Congress.

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‘Schedule F’ Would Be Bad—Even for Trump

My time in the Biden administration shows that Project 2025’s proposal to purge civil servants would be bad policy for everyone.

Here’s one of the best kept secrets of the federal government:  nothing gets done without effective civil servants.  I learned this secret firsthand in the three years I just spent at the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA), first as Chief Counsel, then as Acting Administrator. Political appointees, as I was, help set an agency’s …

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The Battle for Congress: Key U.S. House Races in California

These elections could prove critically important to how much the next President can reshape energy and environmental policy.

These are key races for control of the House: if they did all flip and Democrats held their remaining seats, Hakeem Jeffries would be the next Speaker. The battle for control of the U.S. House is going to be very tight.  Democrats need to pick up  only four seats to flip control – something that will be especially important for them if Trump wins and Republicans win the Senate as expected.  Especially in that scenario, control of the House will have a big impact on climate and energy policy, one way or the other. It doesn’t look like climate or energy are major issues in the key U.S. House races in California. Only one candidate (Dave Min) devotes significant attention to them. To avoid unintentionally distorting anyone’s views, these descriptions are taken straight from their campaign websites.

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The State of the Race

Who will shape federal climate and energy policies? The answer remains too close to call.

Republicans are favored to take control of the Senate, but who will control the House and the Presidency remains too close to call. The implications for climate policy and the future of the planet could be profound.

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Why the 2024 House Races Matter So Much for Energy and Climate Policy

An image of the U.S. Capitol Building in the evening.

Those races get a lot less attention than elections for the Senate, but they’re equally important.

Unified government would give Trump a much freer hand.  Republicans are likely to win the Senate. If they also win the House, he wouldn’t have to worry about annoying congressional investigations and could use the Senate reconciliation procedure to gut environmental agencies and federal support for clean energy.

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The Harris-Trump Debate and Environmental Policy

In the ABC News debate, both candidates were asked directly, “What would you do to fight climate change?” Fracking and energy policy got most of the focus.

While abortion and immigration took center stage during last night’s presidential debate in Philadelphia, climate change and energy policy were referenced throughout the more than ninety minutes, in stark contrast to that Biden-Trump debate in June in which climate change was largely relegated to one question. From the very beginning of the debate, Trump attempted …

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Should We Be Upset If Candidates Don’t Provide Concrete Policy Plans?

Policy specifics give me something to write blog posts about.  But how much should they matter to voters?

After all, you don’t need specifics to know that Trump and Harris have very different views about climate and energy.  Should voters care about their failure to go into detail?

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