What Does Ben Carson Think About the Environment?
He hasn't said much. Mostly he sounds like Mitch McConnell. But sometimes he sounds like Pope Francis.
Ben Carson is rapidly rising in the polls for the GOP presidential nomination. He has a number of strengths including a demeanor that is the opposite of Donald Trump's and an arresting personal story. Apparently, for many GOP voters, part of his charm is his lack of experience in politics or government. He has taken very clear-cut positions on some issues like abortion. But the environment isn't one of them. What he has said mostly reflects standard conserva...
CONTINUE READINGResources on the Clean Power Plan
and EPA’s Other Rulemakings under Clean Air Act § 111
On August 3rd, EPA released its long-awaited Clean Power Plan, which implements Clean Air Act § 111(d) to set the first-ever national standards for carbon emissions from existing fossil-fuel-fired power plants. The Clean Power Plan calculates reasonably achievable performance rates for existing coal, oil, and natural gas power plants across the country, and assigns an emission-reduction target for each state based on the composition of the state’s power plant fleet. ...
CONTINUE READINGCalifornia’s Effort To Set 2030 Greenhouse Gas Emissions Fails
What are the implications for ongoing climate efforts?
In another, even bigger setback for the environmental community in California, SB 32 (Pavley), the bill to set greenhouse gas targets for 2030 and 2050, was pulled yesterday and will be tried again next year. The winners are the oil companies, who face tough regulations and competition from California's climate efforts. The failure is a big sting for climate advocates in the leading state on this issue. I'm not an expert on the politics, but it appears from press ...
CONTINUE READINGBuilding Climate Coalitions
A New Paper in Science Illuminates the Political Dynamics
Economists are used to evaluating policy instruments based on their economic effects. No surprise there. But a recent paper in Science argues that the political effects may be just as important. Perhaps it's not a coincidence that three of the four authors are political scientists; the fourth is Eric Biber, a frequent contributor to this blog. (The other three are Jonas Meckling, Nina Kelsey, and John Zysman). Here's how the process works. Some policies, lik...
CONTINUE READING“Big Oil” Defeats California’s Petroleum Reduction Legislation, But It May Not Matter
Western States Petroleum Association will likely face tough regulations and market conditions anyway
It was a rare defeat yesterday in the legislature for California's environmental community. After major victories in 2006 with AB 32 (to reduce greenhouse gas emissions to 1990 levels by 2020), in 2008 with SB 375 (to reform transportation and land use planning), and in 2010 with a voter rejection of the oil industry's attempt to roll back AB 32 (Prop 23), climate advocates were getting comfortable in the Golden State. But the Western States Petroleum Association (aka...
CONTINUE READINGDisaster Law and Policy
A new textbook on the emerging field of Disaster Law.
I'm delighted to announce the publication of the third edition of Disaster Law and Policy. Although I might not normally use this blog to promote a new book, I'd like to think in this case this is more than just shameless self-promotion. That's for two reasons: the lion's share of the credit for the improvements in this edition goes to my co-authors, James Chen, Lisa Sun, and Rob Verchick. So it's not really self-promotion, it's promoting their work. And more impo...
CONTINUE READINGAs Predicted, Premature Suit to Block Clean Power Plan Implementation Fails
Petitioners don't meet standards for extraordinary writs
The case filed by 15 disgruntled states, led by West Virginia, seeking to block the implementation of the Clean Power Plan has been dismissed by the D. C. Circuit Court of Appeal as premature. Here's an explanation of the legal and political basis for the lawsuit. As predicted when the states filed the lawsuit, the D.C. Circuit found that the states couldn't meet the extremely high standards necessary to block the lawsuit before the regulations it challenged had bee...
CONTINUE READINGThe Shadow Price of Carbon
Merging Cost-Benefit Analysis and Feasibility Analysis
The U.S. government has devoted a lot of time and effort to estimating the social cost of carbon. This is basically a standard exercise in cost-benefit analysis, following a familiar three-step process: 1. Impacts. Figure out the physical impacts of the emissions. This involves setting up some emissions scenarios and then running computer simulations to see how much they would change global temperatures. Scientists are fairly confident about the floor for th...
CONTINUE READINGThe Top Ten Reasons Trump Should Endorse a Carbon Tax
A bold move, if Trump is brave enough to go there.
Not that he's asked for my advice, but here are ten powerful reasons why Donald Trump should endorse a carbon tax: 10. It would be completely inconsistent with his past positions. 9. It would shock the GOP establishment. 8. It would shock the media. 7. He's already endorsed a tax increase for the rich, so why not? 6. It could allow reductions in other taxes, which he favors to increase growth. 5. He could mock Fox News for it...
CONTINUE READINGCan We Trust the Science? The Challenge of Irreproducible Results
In the peer review process, articles submitted to scientific journals are sent to experts in the field who then assess the methodology, results and conclusions. Based on their feedback, authors often revise and re-submit, publishing an improved article as a result. Peer reviewers rarely attempt the actual experiments described in the paper. Irreproducible results are always a potential problem. Indeed, there is even a satirical journal dedicated to the issue (including...
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