energy trends

The Dim Outlook for Trump Energy Dominance

A green tinted photo of oil drilling pump jacks.

About the best he can hope for in the long run is to maintain the status quo.

U.S. oil is seeing a future of declining U.S. and global demand for gasoline and diesel, with U.S. production also remaining stagnant.  The future for natural gas production is looking rosier given increasing energy demand and possible growth in U.S. exports.  From the perspective of the oil industry, this is probably an optimistic forecast. It assumes that there are no major advances in battery technology that would further accelerate adoption of EVs or sharp decreases in the price of solar. It also assumes that nuclear power doesn’t expand globally, and that other countries are willing to trust the U.S. as a source of a vital energy resources.  

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