environmental politics

Even in Dark Times, There are Still Reasons to be Thankful

The election was largely a disaster. But we’ve also seen some positive developments.

Trump’s triumphant return to power promises to be a disaster for environmental protection, casting a pall over all else. Even so, if you’re someone who cares about energy and environment, there are some things to be thankful for ithis year   Here are a few.

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Climate Politics and Electoral Realignment

Some deep-seated dividing lines in U.S. politics seem to be eroding, with potential implications for climate policy.

The electorate is changing. Racial divisions are blurring, the GOP has gained a solid following among working class voters (especially whites), and college graduates and those with above median incomes have shifted to the Democrats. Among the many effects will be changes in the politics surrounding climate change. We will start to see an increased rate of success for advocates of climate actions in off-year and down-ballot races. 

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Carrots Are More Durable Than Sticks

Laws like the Inflation Reduction Act may have more sticking power than regulations.

it’s hard to repeal subsidies and tax credits.  We’re seeing that right now in Congress.  There’s been a lot of talk by Trump and others of blowing away the IRA.  But many billions of dollars of IRA investments are being made in Republican congressional districts.  And this has had an effect. Subsidies won’t solve the climate crisis on their own, but they provide a solid economic and political foundation for climate policies of all kinds.

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With a Week to Go, Where Do the Elections Stand?

The Presidential, Senate & House elections will have immense repercussions in terms of energy and environment.

This elections seemunusually weighty in its policy implications.  In terms of energy and climate policy, the two parties parties are far apart — Republicans favor energy dominance through massive fossil fuel production, Demorats favor clean energy. To the immense frustration of people on both sides, things haven’t moved much since September, when I last wrote …

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Why is EPA “Faceless”?

People complain about faceless bureaucrats. At least in part, that could be fixed.

How many people can name the head of EPA or even know the title of that office?  About 5% of the population, would be my guess. Apart from Scott Pruitt, who became famous for his $20,000 phone booth, few people outside of the field could name any previous holder of the office. 

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Texas and California Are Not Opposites. Contrary to What You Might Think.

These two states are often portrayed as epitomizing two possible futures. But the differences are more nuanced than you think.

here’s a common idea that Texas and California represent two opposing poles of America. They’re admittedly very different places on many dimensions. But in some respects, they are surprisingly similar, and some differences aren’t as big as they seem.  

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With 4 Weeks Left, the Election – and the Future of Climate Policy – Hang in the Balance

The White House and control of the House remain toss-ups.

Yhe outcome of the 2024 election will be pivotal for climate and energy policy.  With a month to go, things are still incredibly close.  Harris has a tiny edge in the electoral college and the Republicans have similar edges in the House and Senate.So hang onto your hats for the final stretch of this rollercoaster ride.  A last-minute “October surprise” is still possible, and it’s also possible that polls will turn out wrong.

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The Two Races Most Likely to Determine Control of the Senate

The outcomes will shape environmental policy in the new Congress.

To keep control of the Senate, Democrats must hold on to the White House and two Senate seats in red states.  If Republicans win in Ohio or Montana, they are virtually guaranteed to flip the Senate, with important consequences for environmental policy.

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Evolving Energy Positions, 2016-2024

The national debate over climate and energy has shifted since Trump’s first run in 2016.

Coal, once a political flash point, has almost disappeared as an issue, with oil and gas production in unchallenged first place for Republicans.  Clean energy subsidies, a side-issue in 2016,, have now taken center stage, while EPA regulations get much less attention.  The one thing that remains unchanged is the gulf between the parties.

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The Contract with America

Or, as some critics called it, “the Contract ON America.”

The Contract with America was the brainchild of Newt Gingrich. It was a turning point in American politics: moving the GOP from compromise to confrontation, nationalizing what had previously been locally oriented House races, and shifting the GOP far to the right. There’s a reason they call Gingrich the man who broke Congress.

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