Federal Climate Policy

The U.S. Has Now Become a Rogue Nation

By pulling out of the UNFCCC and dozens of international organizations, Trump has isolated the United States and ceded influence to China and the EU.

In the past few days, Trump has kidnapped the head of state of Venezuela, threatened to invade Greenland, and withdrawn from a 1992 climate treaty negotiated by George H.W. Bush.   The treaty, the U.N. Framework Convention on Climate Change, has been the basis for international climate cooperation for the past thirty years, including the Paris Agreement.  In addition, Trump is withdrawing from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), which will make it harder for American scientists to contribute to the periodic reports on the state of climate science. Trump’s action is basically a big middle finger toward the rest of the world.  If anyone wins from this, it’s China, which can now claim to be the responsible adult in the room. 

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2026: The Year Ahead

Here are six big things to watch.

What to watch for environmentally in 2026: court tests of Trump’s power, midterms, China, grid issues, and state energy moves. In 2025, Trump rolled out new initiatives at a dizzying rate. That story, in one form or another, dominated the news.  This year, much of the news will again be about Trump, but he will have less control of the narrative. Legal and political responses to Trump will play a greater role, as will economic developments. Trump’s anti-environmental crusade could run into strong headwinds.

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That Was the Year That Was

2025 had a lot of bad environmental news, but also a few rays of hope.

2025 has been a dark time for Americanswho care about the environment.  Rather than being a repeat of his first term, which had been bad enough environmentally, Trump’s second term has been a tsunami of bad news. Besides some outright rollbacks, Trump has done his best to purge the government of programs and people implementing environmental law. Much of that has been illegal but effective anyway. The demolition of the East Wing will be remembered as a defining moment, the perfect metaphor for an Administration that has religiously embraced the motto, “move fast and break things.”

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Games Deregulators Play

Here are the five moves the Trump EPA consistently uses to justify deregulation.

If you start reading the Trump Administration’s arguments for deregulation, a repetitive feeling soon sets in. Every deregulation is different, of course, but there are stock arguments that seem to surface again and again.These arguments have a distortion effect, blurring the benefits of regulations while magnifying their costs. 

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The CAFE Rollback Is Audaciously, Aggressively Awful

The proposal even rolls back standards that the first Trump Administration set.

This morning I blogged about some wonky reactions to the Trump/NHTSA rollback of the CAFE standards.  Now I want to step back and highlight just how truly bad the new set of standards is, based on incredibly aggressive legal interpretations. As my first post highlights, the standards are set for ten years despite statutory language …

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Some Early Thoughts on the Dismantling of CAFE Standards

In short, the new standards are full of legal problems (and substantively awful).

It’s hard not to take personally this week’s overturning of the Biden Administration’s CAFE standards, and their replacement with standards that will, if finalized, reduce the projected average miles per gallon of the fleet from over 50 MPG to 34.5.  The Biden standards were among my proudest accomplishments while serving at NHTSA (along with increasing …

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Red States and the American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce are Climate Champions?

The hypocrisy in Iowa v. Wright is nauseating.

Guess which parties made the following arguments about climate change  in a recently decided Eighth Circuit Court of Appeals case, Iowa v. Wright?  A group of red states and the American Free Enterprise Chamber of Commerce (AMFREE). The case involves an obscure but important formula, known as the Petroleum Efficiency Factor (PEF), applied when automakers …

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The Lingering Legal Issue of California’s Limits on Vehicle Emissions

The issues are complex, but the state has some strong legal arguments on its side.

The odds are high that the Trump Administration will withdraw California’s power to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from cars and trucks – and along with it, California’s effort to become all-electric. This is a crucial issue for the state because transportation accounts for about 40% of the state’s emissions. It’s also crucial for the other states have exercised the option of adopting California standards.  The issues are complex, involving an unusual statutory scheme.  Here’s what you need to know, and why I think California should win this fight.

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The Tariff Case & Environmental Law

The Court’s ruling could open doors legally for some future environmental actions.

In passing a new statute, is Congress endorsing judicial rulings under the old one? Do restrictions on the regulatory powers of administrative agencies apply to foreign affairs or Presidential actions? Can courts review a President’s emergency actions? The oral argument in the Trump tariff case will provide clues into the Justice’s thinking on these key issues. The ultimate decision will have implications on other topics like environmental law. Here’s a roadmap to the issues.

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Will Technology Save Us? It Might Have To

Battery innovations provide at least some source for hope despite the Trump Administration’s war on renewable energy

There is little good out there, but it was nice to see this graphic recently.   It’s a graphic of the daily energy usage in California broken down by source and by time period, according to the California Independent System Operator. That’s why you can see the yellow-gold area, representing solar capacity, expand during the daytime …

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