Federal Climate Policy

Judge Smacks Down EPA’s Attempt to Revoke Six of California’s Waivers

She calls EPA’s legal arguments Orwellian.

  Judge Beryl Howell of the U.S. District Court for the District of Columbia is having none of EPA’s shenanigans in the agency’s most recent attempt to revoke four of California’s waivers to cut pollution from vehicles.  On Wednesday, Howell issued a preliminary injunction — accompanied by a stinging opinion –  ordering the agency to …

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What We Know About Trump’s Impact on Clean Energy

U.S. clean energy has taken a major hit but not a fatal one.

Biden’s climate legacy has taken serious hits but more has survived then we feared.  There’s a general impression that Trump has wiped out Biden’s ambitious climate statute and with it brought the energy transition to a halt.  It’s become clear that the situation is a lot more complicated than that.  Politico has unearthed new evidence about funding under Biden’s Inflation Reduction Act. That new evidence complements some of the other pieces of the puzzle. Here’s what we know at this point.

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Consumer Clean-Energy Sovereignty

Consumers seem to be voting with their wallets for clean energy.

In the second quarter (Q2) of 2026, “clean energy and transportation investment in the United States totaled $75 billion, a 22% increase from Q1 2026 and a 4% jump from Q2 2025.”  Considering Trump’s effort to summon all the power of the federal government to destroy clean energy, that’s not bad. One surprise: consumer spending accounted for more than half the total.

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Dear 2026 1L

A large, diverse group of people sits and stands on outdoor steps, smiling and posing for a group photo in front of a building on a sunny day.

Today’s entering law students are preparing to start careers at a critical time for the environment.

Welcome to law school. You’re beginning your life in the law at a critical time. What we do together between now and 2035 will determine what your lives look like in 2050 and 2080, and what your children and grandchildren will see in the next century. So, grab your books, get yourselves ready, and be prepared to head for the legal trenches when you graduate. No time to waste!

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Strategies for the 2030s

We lost the Battle of 2025. But we haven’t last the fight for sustainability.

Two recent models have some welcome news: Trump’s rollbacks and assault on the Inflation Reduction Act have not been as cataclysmic as feared. At least not yet.  The models come from different sources — an MIT researcher and the Rhodium firm — using different methodologies.  The models also have implications about the next steps in climate policy.  Both models highlight the critical need to rip down barriers to clean energy and transmission build out. 

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The Sting in the Tail of the Clean Air Act

Weakening restrictions on polluters can trigger different restrictions. 

Some of Trump’s most important anti-environmental moves involve unleashing air polluters.  There’s a problem with this strategy, however. Doing so raises air pollution levels, which can bring states into collision with other Clean Air Act (CAA) requirements.  Thus, the effect could be much tighter restrictions on other sources to compensate for looser standards on some.  Worse, this effect isn’t limited to the most directly affected states.  They may turn around and demand that upwind states reduce their own emissions to help the downstream states meet federal standards. Even when this isn’t true, and where the state that suffers may be Democratic-leaning and thus of no concern to Trump, there could be economic repercussions in other states.

Two notable examples of this problem involve coal generators and vehicle regulation.  The first example involves coal. Trump has exempted coal-fired power plants from pollution limits to allow them to remain open longer. According to E&E News, “Air pollution from coal-fired power plants spiked in 2025, a striking reversal of long-term progress in air quality as the Trump administration boosted coal use. The emission increases were among the largest in at least a quarter-century, on a percentage basis, as the bulk of about 210 power plants registered increased sulfur dioxide and nitrogen oxide emissions,” Power plant sulfur-dioxide emissions were up 18% and nitrogen oxides were up 12%.  This is contrary to a strong long-term declining trend.

The second example involves vehicle emissions. Under the CAA, state laws regulating vehicle emissions are generally preempted, but California can apply for a preemption waiver if it needs stricter regulations, and other states can piggyback on California’s standards.  California’s ability to seek a waiver has been more limited since, at Trump’s instigation, Congress overturned EPA’s approval of several California waiver requests.  The Trump Administration has independently taken the view that California can’t require manufacturers to sell more EVs as a way to meet standards.  Although Republicans were mostly targeting California’s standards for greenhouse gases, they have also hampered California’s ability to get waivers for smog and particulates. 

The problem arises because stopping a state from regulating some polluters may legally require it to tighten other regulations.  Under CAA section 110, states must have state implementation plans that will achieve national air quality standards set by EPA.  If one type of source pollutes more, other sources must offset the increased pollution by polluting less.  Other CAA provisions put the screws on states that exceed the national standards. As a result, if the Feds exempt one source of nitrogen oxides (perhaps by repealing  California waiver), states that had adopted the California standard will need to tighten regulations of other sources. Thus, exempting nitrogen oxides from trucks or cars, or from coal power plants, might require stricter controls on other sources such as natural gas power plants. Moreover, if a state is unable to achieve the national air quality standard, the so-called “Good Neighbor” provision allows it to demand emission reductions from upwind states.  

In other words, exempting some sources increases the regulatory burden on others.  The exemption may even increase the total regulatory burden, if pollution from those other sources is more expensive to control than pollution from the exempted sources. Here’s why.

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Pondering the Effects of Biden’s Climate Policies

A new report has some unexpected implications.

A new report from an MIT researcher says that the “glass is half full” in terms of prospects for renewables in the U.S.  This was interpreted by some to mean that Biden’s climate policies were proving successful despite repeal of key parts of the Inflation Reduction Act. That’s a bit of a misreading. It also misses some key takeaways from the report. Those include skepticism about tax credits for wind and solar, an emphasis on removing obstacles to new projects, and a call for supporting the development of “firm” power sources like geotherma

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Bring Back “Trump Classic”

Trump 2.0 Public Domain photos

The original version of Trump was bad. The current version is much worse.

Trump has succeeded in his second term in making every past President including even himself look better. We’re now almost a year and a half into Trump’s second term. From almost every point of view, it’s worse than his first term.  It reminds me of the “New Coke” that Coca Cola once introduced, which was a disaster that led to the reintroduction of what was then dubbed “Coke Classic.”  Trump Classic was committed to fossil fuels and eliminating environmental protections. But in almost every respect, his policies were less radical and his methods were less drastic.

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Project 2025 Was Awful. Trump Has Been Worse.

The cover of what has been referred to as Project 2025, which reads, "Mandate for Leadership: The Conservative Promise".

Trump disowned Project 2025. In retrospect, it seems like he considered it too moderate.

When the Heritage Foundation released Project 2025, there was a big hullabaloo, and Trump quickly disowned it.  Bad as it was, however,  it appears  Project 2025 apparently failed to anticipate the full sweep of Trump’s second term.  Many of Trump’s actions mirror Project 2025 recommendations, but in some key areas he’s gone much further.   Here …

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The Environment Dies in Darkness

Suppressing the rights of free speech and association is deadly to environmental protection.

It’s not a coincidence that the title of this post is taken from what used to be the motto for the Washington Post until its billionaire owner decided that democracy was not, after all, a priority.   Because of the inherently collective nature of environmental protection, democracy and environmental protection are inseparable.  The government’s efforts to suppress opponents have a cumulative effect, creating a climate of repression. If we want to fight global warming, we also need to fight the chilling effects of repression on First Amendment freedoms.  

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